Market Forecast · User Instructions

1.What is a predictive market?

A Prediction Market is a marketplace where transactions are conducted based on the outcome of an event Γ. Each event has two opposing outcomes, typically Γ Yes (it will occur) and Γ No (it will not occur), for example:        

Will the home team win this match? → Yes / No

Has Team Γ scored more than 2.5 goals in total? → Yes / No 

 Its key distinction from traditional odds markets and gambling: 

2.Core Concepts (Must Be Understood First)

2.1 Result Share (Share)

What you purchased is not a Γ order, but a share of a specific outcome. After the event ends:  

• Share with correct result → Each share will be paid in 1 USDT

• Shares with incorrect results → Value reset to zero (0 USDT) per share 

2.2 Bet Price = Implicit Probability = Odds Ratio   

The share price for each outcome ranges from 0 to 1 USDT, representing the markets estimated probability of that outcome occurring. 

Yes: Share price = 0.40 USDT – the market estimates a 40% probability that Γ will occur; No: Share price ≈ 0.60 USDT (total ≈ 1).     

2.3 How much can one earn from this?

Since the correct amount is ultimately paid out as 1 USDT, therefore:

Net gain per transaction = 1 − purchase price 

Buy 1 unit at 0.40; if the price moves correctly, receive payment of 1 USDT, resulting in a net profit of 0.60 USDT per unit (return rate: 150%).  

The lower the price (indicating less favorable prospects), the higher the odds and greater the potential winnings; the higher the price, the lower the odds and the more stable the outcome.   

One-word memory: Price = Probability – the cheaper, the greater the potential return; Profit = (1 − Price) × Share.     

3.Before Starting: Prepare Funds

1. Log in to your account (if not logged in, you will be redirected to the main site to log in/register).

2. Transfer funds: The prediction market uses a separate "Global/Betting Account". You need to transfer USDT from your spot account first (see "Fund Transfer / Spot to Global" on the first page; you can transfer in and out at any time).

3. After the transfer, you will see your available balance (USDT), which can be used to buy shares.

The platform does not hold your funds in escrow. Assets are interconnected with your main site spot account. Profits, losses, and transfer details can be viewed in "Fund Flow".

4. How to buy shares (open a position)

Operation steps:

1. Select an event from the event/event list to enter the betting area.

2. Choose a direction: Click Yes or No.

3. Enter the amount of USDT you want to bet in the "Bet Amount" field (you can also click the shortcut button to add more).

4. The system automatically calculates the following based on the real-time betting price:

• Available shares = Bets amount ÷ Current price (shares accurate to 2 decimal places)

• Expected win = Shares × (1 - Price)

5. After confirming there were no errors, click "Buy". Once successful, click the order to view "Current Holdings".

Example:

Invest 10 USDT to buy "Yes," current price 0.40 → Buy 25 units (10 ÷ 0.4)

→ If correct, you receive 25 × 1 = 25 USDT, a net profit of 15 USDT. → If wrong, all 25 units are worthless, resulting in a loss of 10 USDT.

Other:

• Increase/Decrease Bets: Quickly increase or decrease your selected bet amount (no increase if your balance is low).

• Switch Yes/No: When switching directions, the entered bet amount remains unchanged, and the share is recalculated according to the new direction's price.

• Minimum bet: 1 unit; the system will consider slippage when placing an order (the execution price is real-time and may differ slightly from the price at the time of clicking).

5. How to sell shares (exit early)

You don't need to wait for the event to end—as long as the transaction is still ongoing, you can sell your existing holdings at the current market price, locking in profits or mitigating losses in advance.

Steps:

1. In "Current Positions," select the position you want to sell and click "Sell" (select the corresponding Yes/No direction).

2. The system displays the available shares. You can sell a portion or all of them.

3. After entering the shares to sell, "Your Received Amount" is automatically calculated based on the real-time prediction price (including renewal fees/slippage).

4. Confirm the sell. A celebration and withdrawal will appear upon successful completion.

Why are the selling and buying prices different? Prices fluctuate in real-time according to the game situation and supply and demand. For example, if you buy at 0.40 and the price rises to 0.65, selling each share at this time is worth approximately 0.65 → even if the event hasn't ended, you can still profit from the price difference; conversely, if the price falls to 0.25, selling will result in no loss.

⚠ Selling is a market transaction and will be affected by real-time price slippage and platform renewal fees. The actual amount received is subject to system calculation.

6. Settlement and Profit/Loss

1. Event in Progress: Your position is in "Current Positions," with a status of "Pending Settlement," displaying real-time odds and expected profit.

2. Event Ends → The platform determines the result based on the official match results.

3. Settlement: For shares held in the correct direction, 1 USDT is paid out per share; for incorrect directions, the balance is reset to zero; the status changes to "Settled," marked as "Profit/Loss," and the position is moved to "Historical Positions."

4. Settlement funds are automatically credited to your account and can be viewed in "Funds Flow" as a "Settlement" record.

Match Result Analysis Dashboard (available after settlement): Provides a timeline + odds nodes (betting start, goal, yellow/red card, corner kick, points).

7. My holdings and records

• Current Positions: In-progress positions (betting time, order number, event, bet amount, odds, expected profit, status, action).

• Historical Positions: Settled positions (including settlement profit, settlement result); searchable by event name (fuzzy) / event type (early game/in-play) / time period.

• Fund Flow: Transfers in / Transfers out / Bets / Settlement details (currency, amount, action type, balance after change).

• Fund Summary: Total bets, total profit/loss, total win rate (wins ÷ total games), effective funds, total funds, frozen funds.

8. Fees and Risks

• Renewal Fees/Slippage: Both buying and selling are executed at the real-time price. Selling at the market price will incur renewal fees and slippage. The actual transaction price is subject to the system's calculation.

• Price Fluctuations: The betting price changes in real time according to the game situation and market supply and demand, and profits and losses will fluctuate accordingly.

• Capital Risk: If the final holding direction is incorrect, the share will be reduced to zero, and all invested capital may be lost.

• Settlement Basis: The official game results as used by the platform shall prevail; in special circumstances such as score rollback/referee cancellation, the final settlement result shall prevail.

• Rational Participation: Betting involves risks. Please act according to your own circumstances and only invest funds that you can afford to lose.

9. Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)

Q: Can I regret buying it?

able. In the prediction market, you can sell shares at the market price and leave the market early at any time, without having to wait until the event is over.

Q: Why do prices keep changing?

Price = the market's real-time probability of the outcome, which fluctuates with the situation and buying and selling supply and demand, the same as the stock price.

Q: Why do I sell less/more than I bought?

Sell ​​according to the current market price. If the price rises, you will make a profit, if the price falls, you will lose; and accounting fees and slippage will be taken into account.

Q: What is the minimum purchase amount?

Minimum 1 share; share accuracy 2 digits (the maximum buyable share is calculated based on available balance and real-time price).

Q: How is the winning amount calculated?

Net win per share = 1 − purchase price; total win = share × (1 − purchase price).

Q: How long does it take for settlement?

After the event is over and the official result is determined, it will be settled by the platform (usually faster), and the status will change from "Pending settlement" to "Settled".

10. Quick Glossary of Terms